Showing posts with label results. Show all posts
Showing posts with label results. Show all posts

Thursday, 9 January 2014

How Infosys has moved in earnings seasons

Riken Mehta
Follow me on Twitter @mehtariken

Check out how Infosys/Infy has moved in earnings seasons

Pre-Result rally is rally from start of the month to one day before results
Post-Result rally is rally from closing price on result day to end of that month

Month Pre-Result Rally Result Day Post-Result Rally
Jan-12 2.13% -8.43% 6.09%
Apr-12 -4.03% -12.66% 2.48%
Jul-12 -1.52% -8.36% -1.65%
Oct-12 -0.07% -5.44% -1.35%
Jan-13 0.16% 16.79% 2.85%
Apr-13 0.95% -21.30% -2.61%
Jul-13 1.18% 10.91% 5.90%
Oct-13 3.80% 4.70% 1.08%
Jan-14 -1.00%

Friday, 19 July 2013

Q1FY14 analysis: Stocks that have hit 52-week high post results




Riken Mehta
Follow me on Twitter @mehtariken


The first quarter earnings season (April-June 2013) for the fiscal year 2014 is panning out as predicted by the market experts. Pharma, IT and consumption stocks are beating street expectations while rate sensitives (metals, capital goods and cement are likely to) disappoint.

It’s been early days so far in the current earnings season but the estimate seems to be pretty accurate. Large and mid-sized IT companies have outperformed by a wide margin on rupee depreciation along with the revival in US economy. Major banks and auto companies have struggled to meet the street estimates so far. Selective agro-based companies have managed to surprise the street with its better-than-expected earnings and with monsoon being good so far one could imagine the current quarter might pan out even better for these companies.

Let’s take a look at the companies that have hit 52-week high post stellar results in this month so far. It will be interesting to see by the end of earnings season the number of midcap and smallcap companies that have hit 52-week high/low post results.

* The list will be updated periodically




Company Net Sales PBIDT PAT PBIDTM(%) PATM(%) 52 Week High 52 Week High-Date Result Date
Supreme Inds. 1038.04 196.82 105.08 18.96 10.12 379.5 23/07/2013 18/07/2013
Vimta Labs 27.43 8.07 3.74 29.42 13.63 28.7 17/07/2013 15/07/2013
CRISIL 195.23 80.83 52.83 41.4 27.06 1191.95 23/07/2013 19/07/2013
Greenply Inds. 480.5 58.44 22.57 12.16 4.7 524 23/07/2013 23/07/2013
TCS 13944.08 4444.91 3297.75 31.88 23.65 1780 23/07/2013 18/07/2013
Intense Tech. 10.92 3.74 3.5 34.25 32.05 9.32 23/07/2013 10/07/2013
Blue Star Info. 28.58 4.23 2.55 14.8 8.92 85.7 22/07/2013 18/07/2013
Mindtree 647.7 192.5 135.3 29.72 20.89 966.2 19/07/2013 18/07/2013
D B Corp 419.37 140.19 79.15 33.43 18.87 280 22/07/2013 18/07/2013
Indiabulls Hous. 1163.67 1147.55 326.87 98.61 28.09 283.5 23/07/2013 18/07/2013

Tuesday, 28 May 2013

Report card: How broking firms grade Coal India Q4 results


Riken Mehta
Moneycontrol.com
Shares in Coal India  jumped to three-month high on Tuesday after its consolidated fourth quarter earnings beat estimates coupled with news of price hike.

Coal India 's fourth quarter (January-March) consolidated net profit rose 34.9 percent year-on-year to Rs 5,414 crore. Its sales grew by 2.5 percent to Rs 19,904.5 crore from Rs 19,419 crore Y-o-Y, which too came in marginally above forecast.

Coal India said it would raise prices as of Tuesday, adding the hikes would increase revenue by about Rs 2119 crore for the rest of the fiscal year 2013-14.

Broking firms remain upbeat on Coal India after company's fourth quarter earnings and price hike. The offer for sale by the Government still remains major overhang for the stock.

Morgan Stanley: OVERWEIGHT

Morgan Stanley has retained its ‘overweight’ rating on the stock citing the company on its way to deliver healthy production growth in FY2014.

“We expect CIL to raise FSA prices in the near term. With a cash balance of USD 11.5 billion at end-FY2013, we expect CIL to increase its dividend payout in the next two years, translating into yield of 8.2 percent in FY2014 and 9.4 percent in FY2015,” said the Morgan Stanley report.

Elara Capital: ACCUMULATE, TP: Rs 364

Brokerage house Elara Capital has maintained its 'accumulate' rating on Coal India as the firm believes the stock looks attractive from the point of dividend yield and cheap valuation. Elara Capital has a price target of Rs 364 per share.

JM Financial : BUY, TP Rs 370 

Domestic broking firm JM Financial has maintained its 'buy' rating on Coal India with a price target of Rs 370.

“Offer for sale by GoI is the key overhang on stock going forward with limited visibility on timing of the offer. We believe the stock has limited downside at current valuations and with triggers like higher dividends, price hike and production are expected to pan out in short to medium term, we maintain 'buy' with target price at Rs 370,” said the JM Financial note to clients.

Kotak: BUY, TP Rs 410

Kotak Institutional Equities has marginally revised its earning estimates of Coal India and also raised its target price to Rs 410 from Rs 404 earlier.

"Financial performance and reasonable valuations notwithstanding, unresolved business issues around incremental coal supplies and an impending stake sale have so far kept stock performance under check that may be catalyzed by the revision in coal prices. Maintain buy with a price target of Rs 410 per share," said the Kotak note.

Friday, 12 April 2013

Infosys results is a feast day for bears nearly every time



Riken Mehta moneycontrol.com

Bears have profited from Infosys  results on more occasions than bulls, at least on the day of the earnings announcement. As the table below shows, in the past 11 quarters, Infosys shares have closed in the red nine times, shedding between 3-12 percent. 

Bulls have not done too well, even over a longer time frame. In the last 23 quarters, they have managed to trump the bears only on seven occasions.

The weakness in the stock on results day does not every time have to do with missing earnings guidance. Even when the company has managed to meet or better market expectations, unwinding of speculative positions built in anticipation of good numbers has led to pressure on the stock.

Results Date

Close

Change

% Chg

11-Oct-07

1,976.85

-148.2

-6.97

11-Jan-08

1,581.75

-20.8

-1.3

15-Apr-08

1,510.40

88.5

6.22

11-Jul-08

1,676.85

-128.4

-7.11

10-Oct-08

1,225.20

-29.05

-2.32

13-Jan-09

1,228.15

68.45

5.9

15-Apr-09

1,370.60

-38.7

-2.75

10-Jul-09

1,721.15

43.6

2.6

9-Oct-09

2,177.60

-33.2

-1.5

12-Jan-10

2,586.95

97.3

3.91

13-Apr-10

2,781.90

98.8

3.68

13-Jul-10

2,796.75

-99.15

-3.42

15-Oct-10

3,076.30

-108.95

-3.42

13-Jan-11

3,205.20

-172.1

-5.1

15-Apr-11

2,989.50

-316.7

-9.58

12-Jul-11

2,791.55

-129.6

-4.44

12-Oct-11

2,679.35

174.8

6.98

12-Jan-12

2,588.25

-238.35

-8.43

13-Apr-12

2,402.55

-348.1

-12.66

12-Jul-12

2,264.40

-206.6

-8.36

12-Oct-12

2,395.35

-137.85

-5.44

11-Jan-13

2,712.10

389.8

16.79