How market-cap of CNX IT stocks moved in last three years

Riken Mehta
Follow me on Twitter @mehtariken

IT stocks have been on a roll for several months now on renewed optimism in the developed economies of US and UK that will lead to more outsourcing of software contracts to Indian IT companies coupled with rupee depreciation. Let's analyse how market-cap of CNX IT companies have moved in last three years.

Infosys market-cap has surged only 7 percent in last three years as company lagged its peers with slower revenue growth, falling margins, higher attrition rate and reluctance to avoid big ticket acquisitions and sticking to old strategies. TCS   market-cap is 115 percent higher compared to Infosys today while the difference was merely 7% in 2011.

TCS topped Infy as IT bellwether and surprised the street every quarter with its consistent strong performance despite weak macro environment in US and UK in 2011 and 2012.

HCL Tech   has emerged as a dark horse in the entire pack trebling its market-cap in last three years. Improved business strategies, strong leadership, acquisition of higher bracket clients and clocked higher EBIT margins over the years.

Infosys current market-cap of Rs 214078 crore is less than TCS market-cap in Jan 2011 (Rs 226656 cr). Infosys has not even managed to cross TCS market-cap (in 2011) in last three years.

TCS current market-cap is more than combined total market-cap of remaining 18 CNX IT stocks (barring Infosys) In 2011, TCS market-cap was 14% higher compared to Infy. Today TCS market-cap is 115% higher compared to Infy.

Infosys market-cap has surged only 7% in last three years. It has underperformed 14 IT stocks in CNX IT index in last three years.

The difference of market-cap between Wipro (3rd largest) and HCL Tech (4th largest) was 74% in 2011. Today the gap between two has narrowed to 32%.

Tech Mahindra 's market-cap was less than that of Mphasis in Jan 2011. Today, Tech Mahindra's market-cap is 5 times that of Mphasis. In 2011, Mphasis was 6th largest company in terms of market-cap and today Tech Mahindra is 5th largest while Mphasis is 7th.

Tech Mahindra’s market-cap was less than combined market-cap of MindTree , Vakrangee , Hexaware, CMC and KPIT . Today Tech Mahindra’s market-cap has nearly doubled the combined market-cap of MindTree, Vakrangee, Hexaware, CMC and KPIT.

Vakrangee’s market-cap has surged from Rs 700 cr in (Jan 2011) to Rs 4700 cr (nearly 600%) in last three years.

In 2011, Vakrangee was not even a part of CNX IT index and today its 10th largest IT stock in terms of market-cap (Top 10 IT stocks).   Only 5 CNX IT stocks out of 20 have posted negative returns in last three years. Core Education has lost 91% of its market-cap in last three years. (From midcap it has become smallcap stock)

AAP effect: How sectoral indices have performed post AAP victory

Riken Mehta
Follow me on Twitter @mehtariken

THE AAP EFFECT?
Index	% Fall since Dec-9
Nifty	-3.02%
CNX IT	10.20%
BSE HEALTHCARE	7.56%
Bank Nifty	-10.45%
BSE Capital Goods	-11.19%
BSE Power	-8.29%
BSE Auto	-4.09%
BSE Realty	-3.78%
BSE Oil&Gas	-3.75%
BSE Metal	-2.43%

The roller-coaster ride of Baltic Dry Index in last 6 months

Riken Mehta

Follow me on Twitter @mehtariken

Baltic Dry index, a barometer of global trade fell 26 percent this week after the new environmental rules implemented by Colombia. The government halted loading of coal out of the country after US miner Drummond failed to comply with environmental rules. Colombia is world’s fourth largest supplier of thermal coal. Baltic Dry index which indicates the daily charter rate for vessels carrying cargoes of coal, iron ore, and grain lost 11 percent in trade today. This was the steepest intraday fall for the index since October 2008. The index surged nearly 200 percent in the period June-December before peaking out around 2330 levels. The index is down 35 percent in last one month.

How Infosys has moved in earnings seasons

Riken Mehta
Follow me on Twitter @mehtariken

Check out how Infosys/Infy has moved in earnings seasons

Pre-Result rally is rally from start of the month to one day before results
Post-Result rally is rally from closing price on result day to end of that month

Month	Pre-Result Rally	Result Day	Post-Result Rally
Jan-12	2.13%	-8.43%	6.09%
Apr-12	-4.03%	-12.66%	2.48%
Jul-12	-1.52%	-8.36%	-1.65%
Oct-12	-0.07%	-5.44%	-1.35%
Jan-13	0.16%	16.79%	2.85%
Apr-13	0.95%	-21.30%	-2.61%
Jul-13	1.18%	10.91%	5.90%
Oct-13	3.80%	4.70%	1.08%
Jan-14	-1.00%

Chart of the day: Emerging Markets ETF falls 4% in 2 days on heavy volumes

Riken Mehta
Follow me on Twitter @mehtariken

Cash volumes continue to dip even as indices climb

Riken Mehta
Follow me on Twitter @mehtariken

Traded turnover in the cash market is a good indicator of retail participation in the stock market. And looking at the steady decline in cash market volumes since 2009, it is evident that retail investors are yet to regain their appetite for equities. F&O turnover on the NSE has jumped two-and-a-half times, but that is cold comfort even to the stock brokers, since the commission earned on these trades is a fraction of that earned on cash market transactions. 2013 may have been a good year or foreign institutional investors and a handful of market operators, but unless domestic investors (retail as well as mutual funds ) start participating in a big way, a broad-based upmove looks unlikely.